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WAVELET-ANALIZ OF LONG-TERM DYNAMICS LOCAL NUMBER OF FOREST FIRES

Mazurkin P.M, Katkova T.E
The analysis by the wave equations having variable amplitudes and the periods of oscillatory indignation, number of annual forest fires from 1963 for 2012 years in the local territory of Mari El Republic is carried out. Pulse functions of sharp growth of number of forest fires, and also transitions from one wavelet to another through changes of a half-cycle of fluctuation of quantity are shown. It is proved that wavelet -signals don’t depend on a cycle of solar activity (A.L.Chizhevsky’s effect) on the average 11,3 years and a cycle of the address of a kernel of the Sun round its pivot-center on the average 22,4 years. The majority wavelets depends on behavior of the population of people and level of the organization of fire-prevention in the woods. The high-adequate regularities received by identification of steady laws, allow to create expected model for development of a long-term fire prevention when carrying out annual repeated identification of model according to monitoring behind the woods.

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Мазуркин П.М, Каткова Т.Е ВЕЙВЛЕТ-АНАЛИЗ МНОГОЛЕТНЕЙ ДИНАМИКИ ЛОКАЛЬНОЙ ЧИСЛЕННОСТИ ЛЕСНЫХ ПОЖАРОВ // Научное обозрение. Сельскохозяйственные науки. 2020. № 1. С. 24-25;
URL: https://science-agriculture.ru/en/article/view?id=29 (дата обращения: 18.07.2026).